Francesco Forti vs Michele MecarelliTodi Round of 32

Todi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#363ATP
1399ELO
1372Clay ELO
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#965ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWLL
Forti F.
3-6 6-2 6-4
Mecarelli M.
Forti F.
3662
Mecarelli M.
6241

Francesco Forti defeated Michele Mecarelli 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the Todi tournament on clay. Forti served five aces and committed one double fault, converting 71 percent of his break points and winning 66 percent of his first-serve points. Mecarelli had four aces and four double faults, converting 31 percent of his break points and winning 62 percent of his first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.2
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Forti F.66%
Mecarelli M.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Forti F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
89

Forti F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Mecarelli M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 25%

Draw