Ethan Muza vs Nikita Filin — M25 East Lansing Q16

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Q16
USA
Ethan Muza
22 yrs
Last 10
WLLLWWLLLL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
USA
Nikita Filin
#1439ATP
20 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWLLLWL
Muza E.
vs
Filin N.

Ethan Muza faces Nikita Filin in the M25 East Lansing q16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Muza E.37%
Filin N.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Filin N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Ethan Muza 3 of 10, Nikita Filin 4 of 10 on hard recently — Nikita Filin the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Ethan Muza carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Muza E.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Filin N.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.2Won 36% in Usa (22)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 12 matches

Statistics

Recent form
Muza E.Filin N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
48%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
44%
Service points won·Even
50%
54%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Dominant
17%
43%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.9
Double faults / match·Even
6.0
6.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

Recent form
Muza E.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Filin N.

Filin N.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Muza E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw