Aziz Dougaz vs Alec DeckersAstana Round of 32

Astana · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#629ATP
1390ELO
1374Hard ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 4th on
#585ATP
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
Dougaz A.
6-3 2-6 6-3
Deckers A.
Dougaz A.
6262
Deckers A.
3631

Aziz Dougaz defeated Alec Deckers in the Round of 32 at the Astana tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 in favor of Dougaz. Dougaz hit 10 aces and 7 double faults, while Deckers had 8 aces and 8 double faults; Dougaz converted 38% of break points and broke Deckers' serve 3 times, compared to Deckers' 2 breaks and 67% conversion rate.

Key context

  • Match story: Aziz Dougaz closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
33%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.7
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Dougaz A.65%
Deckers A.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dougaz A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
67
59

Dougaz A.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Deckers A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 21%

Draw