Flynn Thomas vs Hernan Casanova — M25 Muttenz Round of 32

M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 32

SUI

Flynn Thomas

#1248ATP

18 yrs

Last 10

LLLWWWLWLL

—

Sets

Tuesday, 11 August 2026 · 18:00

clay

ARG2

Hernan Casanova

#330ATP

1393ELO

1381Clay ELO

32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLWWLWWLWW

Thomas F.

Casanova H.

Flynn Thomas faces Hernan Casanova in the M25 Muttenz round of 32 on clay. Hernan Casanova holds the paper edge — ranked #330.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC

Thomas F.14%

Casanova H.86%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Casanova H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Surface form: Flynn Thomas 3 of 8, Hernan Casanova 4 of 8 on clay recently — Hernan Casanova the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Flynn Thomas carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Thomas F.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Casanova H.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

Surface form

5.56 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

6 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season

Thomas F.Casanova H.

1st serve in·Clear edge

62%

77%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

68%

61%

2nd serve points won·Clear edge

42%

54%

Service points won·Even

58%

60%

Return points won·Slight edge

37%

44%

Break points saved·Slight edge

62%

54%

Aces / match·Clear edge

2.2

0.6

Double faults / match·Dominant

5.8

0.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Thomas F.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Casanova H.

Casanova H.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Thomas F.

Serve advantage — Casanova H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Thomas F.Casanova H.

Freshness·

—

Casanova H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

32°CClear

Wind 13 km/hHumidity 31%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.