Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco PassaroTodi Round of 32

Todi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#462ATP
1282ELO
1278Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 5th on
#222ATP
1592ELO
1578Clay ELO
$91kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLW
Caniato C.
6-4 4-6 4-6
Passaro F.
Caniato C.
6441
Passaro F.
4662

Francesco Passaro defeated Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Round of 32 at the Todi tournament on clay, winning 4-6, 6-4, 6-4. Passaro hit 8 aces and 2 double faults, while converting 50% of break points and winning 3 service breaks. Caniato had 5 aces, 4 double faults, 71% first-serve win percentage, 25% break points converted, and 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Caniato C.41%
Passaro F.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Passaro F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.2Clay Elo 1278
Surface ELO
8.8+300 Clay Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1282
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 1592
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.44 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
88

Caniato C.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Passaro F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw