Matthew William Donald vs Lorenzo Bocchi — M25 Muttenz Round of 32
M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
William Donald M.vs
Bocchi L.
Matthew William Donald faces Lorenzo Bocchi in the M25 Muttenz round of 32 on clay. They have met once, Lorenzo Bocchi leading 1–0. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTCWilliam Donald M.59%
Bocchi L.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · William Donald M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Bocchi leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Store 1 2023.
- Surface form: Matthew William Donald 7 of 10, Lorenzo Bocchi 6 of 10 on clay recently — Matthew William Donald the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H5.0First meeting on clay
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.34 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
12 vs 9 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
54%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
69%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
32°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 32%
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-21 | M15 Store 1 | R32 | clay | Lorenzo Bocchi | 6-4 6-4 |