Matteo Covato vs A. BerrutM25 Muttenz Round of 32

M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 32
#751ATP
21 yrs
Last 10
LLLLLLWLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
SUI
A. Berrut
21 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLWLWLL
Covato M.
vs
Berrut A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Covato M.35%
Berrut A.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Berrut A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Berrut A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.32 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

14 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season
Covato M.Berrut A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
Return points won·Clear edge
30%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
56%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Covato M.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Berrut A.

Berrut A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Covato M.

Serve advantage — Berrut A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw