A. Bellegy vs Leonardo BorrelliM25 Muttenz Round of 32

M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 32
#1492ATP
25 yrs
Last 10
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Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
#1254ATP
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
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Bellegy A.
vs
Borrelli L.

A. Bellegy faces Leonardo Borrelli in the M25 Muttenz round of 32 on clay. Leonardo Borrelli holds the paper edge — ranked #1254. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Bellegy A.58%
Borrelli L.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: A. Bellegy 3 of 9, Leonardo Borrelli 2 of 9 on clay recently — A. Bellegy the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

6 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bellegy A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Borrelli L.

Borrelli L.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bellegy A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
32°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 33%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw