Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Duje AjdukovicTodi Round of 32

Todi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#319ATP
1392ELO
1382Clay ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 6 · 1st on
#304ATP
1480ELO
1462Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLL
Emanuel Ambrogi L.
3-6 7-6 6-2
Ajdukovic D.
Emanuel Ambrogi L.
37762
Ajdukovic D.
66321

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi defeated Duje Ajdukovic in the Round of 32 at the Todi tournament on clay. Ambrogi won the match 3-6, 7-6, 6-2. He served 6 aces to Ajdukovic's 2 and had an 80% first-serve win percentage, compared to Ajdukovic's 65%, en route to converting 3 service breaks to Ajdukovic's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
2
32
Break points saved·Dominant
27
59
Break points won·Clear edge
45
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
10
60
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
6
21

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Emanuel Ambrogi L.53%
Ajdukovic D.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1382
Surface ELO
6.0+80 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1392
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1480
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.13 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
94

Emanuel Ambrogi L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 48 games (7d) · Ajdukovic D.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw