Ajeet Rai vs Quinn VandecasteeleBrownsburg Q16

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Q16
NZLALT
#1022ATP
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
hard
DREW HASSENBEIN COURT · 2nd on
#483ATP
1383ELO
1368Hard ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLLW
Rai A.
3-6 2-6
Vandecasteele Q.
Rai A.
320
Vandecasteele Q.
662

Quinn Vandecasteele defeated Ajeet Rai 6-3, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the Brownsburg hard-court tournament. Vandecasteele converted 75% of his break points and won 73% of his first-serve points. He secured three service breaks to Rai's zero.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
57%
1st serve points won·
71%
2nd serve points won·
48%
Service points won·
61%
Return points won·
40%
Break points saved·
59%
Aces / match·
5.4
Double faults / match·
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Rai A.39%
Vandecasteele Q.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vandecasteele Q. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.82 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in Usa (93)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
87

Rai A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Vandecasteele Q.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw