Mika Petkovic vs Niels McdonaldHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#429ATP
19 yrs
Last 10
LLWLWWLWWL
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
clay
#526ATP
1351ELO
1360Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
LLWLLWWLLW
Petkovic M.
vs
Mcdonald N.

Mika Petkovic faces Niels Mcdonald in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Mika Petkovic holds the paper edge — ranked #429. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Petkovic M.70%
Mcdonald N.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Petkovic M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

12 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
33%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Petkovic M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Mcdonald N.

Mcdonald N.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Petkovic M.

Serve advantage — Petkovic M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
89

Petkovic M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d) · Mcdonald N.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 80%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw