Federico Zeballos vs Ergi KirkinHamburg Q16

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Q16
#1251ATP
38 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
clay
M3 · 1st on
#594ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
Zeballos F.
3-6 3-6
Kirkin E.
Zeballos F.
330
Kirkin E.
662

Ergi Kirkin defeated Federico Zeballos 6-3, 6-3 in the Hamburg clay court tournament's round of 16. The match was part of the qualifying draw. Kirkin won the match in straight sets.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Clear edge
28%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
0
14
Break points saved·Slight edge
24
35
Break points won·Clear edge
10
33
Deciding sets·Dominant
18
43
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
1
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Zeballos F.14%
Kirkin E.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kirkin E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
91

Zeballos F.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kirkin E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw