Stefano Travaglia vs Nicolas Kicker — Todi Round of 32
Travaglia S.
Stefano Travaglia faces Nicolas Kicker in the Todi round of 32 on clay. Stefano Travaglia is the paper favourite — ranked #140, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage — but Nicolas Kicker arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 8 on clay to Stefano Travaglia's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Travaglia S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Stefano Travaglia 37 games in 14 days, Nicolas Kicker 77.
- Under pressure: Stefano Travaglia has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 38 vs Nicolas Kicker's 7).
- Head-to-head: Stefano Travaglia leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Argentina F17 2013.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTravaglia S.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Kicker N.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-09-02 | Argentina F17 | R16 | clay | Stefano Travaglia | 6-4 6-1 |