David Jorda Sanchis vs Jack Pinnington JonesBrownsburg Round of 32

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#186ATP
1545ELO
1334Hard ELO
$66kYTD
$242kCAREER
32 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWWWW
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
hard
#172ATP
1557ELO
1547Hard ELO
$226kYTD
$568kCAREER
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLLWLL
Jorda Sanchis D.
vs
Pinnington Jones J.

David Jorda Sanchis faces Jack Pinnington Jones in the Brownsburg round of 32 on hard. Jack Pinnington Jones holds the paper edge — ranked #172, a roughly 210-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Jorda Sanchis D.36%
Pinnington Jones J.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pinnington Jones J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1334
Surface ELO
7.7+213 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1545
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1557
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.63 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.94 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jorda Sanchis D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Pinnington Jones J.

Pinnington Jones J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Jorda Sanchis D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
38
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
89
Break points won·Dominant
23
50
Deciding sets·Slight edge
69
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
90

Jorda Sanchis D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pinnington Jones J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 75%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw