Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Gabriele PirainoTodi Round of 32

Todi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#214ATP
1563ELO
1532Clay ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLLLW
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
clay
#404ATP
1254ELO
1248Clay ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLLWLL
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
vs
Piraino G.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo faces Gabriele Piraino in the Todi round of 32 on clay. Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is the paper favourite — ranked #214, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 280-point clay Elo advantage — but Gabriele Piraino rides a 4-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Sanchez Izquierdo N.54%
Piraino G.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+285 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Clay Elo 1248
8.9Overall Elo 1563
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1254
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sanchez Izquierdo N.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Piraino G.

Piraino G.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Sanchez Izquierdo N.

Serve advantage — Sanchez Izquierdo N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
63

Sanchez Izquierdo N.: 19 days rest · Piraino G.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-07M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8FclayNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo6-0 6-4

Draw