Eduardo Ribeiro vs Max Alcala GurriHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#372ATP
1356ELO
1343Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLLWLW
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
clay
#171ATP
1581ELO
1564Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWLLL
Ribeiro E.
vs
Alcala Gurri M.

Eduardo Ribeiro faces Max Alcala Gurri in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Max Alcala Gurri holds the paper edge — ranked #171, a roughly 220-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Ribeiro E.32%
Alcala Gurri M.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Alcala Gurri M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1343
Surface ELO
7.8+221 Clay Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1356
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1580
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

17 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
0.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
0.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ribeiro E.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Alcala Gurri M.

Alcala Gurri M.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ribeiro E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
100

Ribeiro E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Alcala Gurri M.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 80%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw