Colton Smith vs Felix Gill — Brownsburg Round of 32

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
USA
Colton Smith
#197ATP
1577ELO
1566Hard ELO
$154kYTD
$480kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10
LLLLWWLWWL
—
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
hard
GBR
Felix Gill
#218ATP
1499ELO
1504Hard ELO
24 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLLLWL
Smith C.
vs
Gill F.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Smith C.56%
Gill F.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Smith C.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Gill F.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+62 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1504
6.0Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1499
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.3Won 72% in Usa (40)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
Smith C.Gill F.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Smith C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Gill F.

Gill F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Smith C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Smith C.Gill F.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
46
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
78
Break points won·Dominant
52
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
70
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Smith C.Gill F.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
90

Smith C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Gill F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 75%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw