Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Daniel Elahi GalanTodi Round of 32

Todi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#328ATP
1379ELO
1368Clay ELO
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWLWW
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
clay
#271ATP
1531ELO
1492Clay ELO
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWLLW
Dellien Velasco M.
vs
Elahi Galan D.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco faces Daniel Elahi Galan in the Todi round of 32 on clay. Daniel Elahi Galan holds the paper edge — ranked #271, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Dellien Velasco M.36%
Elahi Galan D.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Elahi Galan D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1368
Surface ELO
6.6+124 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1379
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1530
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
39%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.2
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Dellien Velasco M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Elahi Galan D.

Elahi Galan D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Dellien Velasco M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
19
24
Break points saved·Dominant
28
83
Break points won·Slight edge
19
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
11
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
70

Dellien Velasco M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Elahi Galan D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw