Facundo Mena vs Thomas FaurelTodi Round of 32

Todi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#333ATP
1427ELO
1406Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLLWLW
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
clay
#323ATP
1459ELO
1424Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
LLLWLLLWLW
Mena F.
vs
Faurel T.

Facundo Mena faces Thomas Faurel in the Todi round of 32 on clay. Thomas Faurel is the paper favourite — ranked #323, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage — but Facundo Mena arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 8 on clay to Thomas Faurel's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Mena F.42%
Faurel T.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1406
Surface ELO
5.2+18 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1427
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1459
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.43 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.1
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mena F.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Faurel T.

Faurel T.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mena F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
98

Mena F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Faurel T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw