Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller — Hamburg Round of 32
Cretu C.
Cezar Cretu faces Marvin Moeller in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Cezar Cretu is the paper favourite — ranked #260, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage — but Marvin Moeller arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on clay to Cezar Cretu's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Cretu C. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Marvin Moeller has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 48 vs 25).
- Surface form: Cezar Cretu 4 of 10, Marvin Moeller 8 of 10 on clay recently — Marvin Moeller the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.