Michael Mmoh vs Edas Butvilas — Brownsburg Round of 32
USA8
Mmoh M.
Michael Mmoh faces Edas Butvilas in the Brownsburg round of 32 on hard. Michael Mmoh is the paper favourite — ranked #181, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage — but Edas Butvilas arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on hard to Michael Mmoh's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Michael Mmoh 79 games in 14 days, Edas Butvilas 104.
- Under pressure: Michael Mmoh has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 49 vs Edas Butvilas's 21).
- Surface form: Michael Mmoh 2 of 5, Edas Butvilas 4 of 5 on hard recently — Edas Butvilas the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMmoh M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Butvilas E.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 104 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.