Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Florian BroskaHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#277ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWWWW
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
clay
#290ATP
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWLWW
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
vs
Broska F.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida faces Florian Broska in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida holds the paper edge — ranked #277. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Pucinelli De Almeida M.64%
Broska F.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pucinelli De Almeida M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 8 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

6 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

wins 56% of points on serve vs Broska F.

Broska F.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Pucinelli De Almeida M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 9 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 80%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw