Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Duje Ajdukovic — Todi Round of 32
Emanuel Ambrogi L.
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi faces Duje Ajdukovic in the Todi round of 32 on clay. Duje Ajdukovic is the paper favourite — ranked #302, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage — but Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 10 on clay to Duje Ajdukovic's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Duje Ajdukovic has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 32 vs 2).
- Surface form: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 5 of 10, Duje Ajdukovic 3 of 10 on clay recently — Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadEmanuel Ambrogi L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Ajdukovic D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.