Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Montreal Round of 16
Griekspoor T.
Tallon Griekspoor faces Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Montreal round of 16 on hard. Daniel Merida Aguilar holds the paper edge — ranked #63.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Tallon Griekspoor grades 44 on serve, Daniel Merida Aguilar 81 on return.
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Tallon Griekspoor 89 games in 14 days, Daniel Merida Aguilar 47.
- Last match: Tallon Griekspoor dropped the opening set before beating Matteo Arnaldi 3–6 6–4 6–3.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGriekspoor T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.