Junhan Zhang vs Chenting Zhu — W15 Tianjin Final

W15 Tianjin · ITF · Final
CHN8
Junhan Zhang
#652WTA
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
hard
CHN
Chenting Zhu
#702WTA
1082ELO
1064Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWW
Zhang J.
4-6 6-2 6-1
Zhu C.
Zhang J.
4662
Zhu C.
6211

Junhan Zhang won the W15 Tianjin final, defeating Chenting Zhu 4-6, 6-2, 6-1. Zhang hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, winning 72% of her first serves and converting 31% of break points. She broke Zhu's serve 5 times, compared to Zhu's 2 breaks.

Key context

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-19W35 ZhengzhouQFhardChenting Zhu6-4 6-0
2025-05-15W15 Maanshan 3R16hardChenting Zhu4-6 6-4 6-4
2025-04-09W15 Wuning 1R32hardJunhan Zhang3-6 6-4 6-3
2024-05-15W50 Anning 1R32clayJunhan Zhang6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
Zhang J.Zhu C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Zhang J.53%
Zhu C.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zhang J.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Zhu C.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Split 2–2 on hard
H2H
5.5Split 2–2 on hard
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw