Ryan Nijboer vs Jannik OpitzHamburg Qualifying Semi-final

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#504ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWWLW
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
clay
M3 · 3rd on
#844ATP
28 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWWWWW
Nijboer R.
vs
Opitz J.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Nijboer R.71%
Opitz J.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Nijboer R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.41 of last 7 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
9.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Nijboer R.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Opitz J.

Opitz J.serving73% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Nijboer R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Opitz J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw