Pawit Sornlaksup vs Shunsuke Mitsui

Astana · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final

THAALT

Pawit Sornlaksup

#748ATP

26 yrs

Last 10

LWWLWLLWWL

—

Sets

Sunday, 9 August 2026 · 15:30

hard

COURT 5 · 4th on

JPN11

Shunsuke Mitsui

#652ATP

24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWLWWLWW

Sornlaksup P.

Mitsui S.

Pawit Sornlaksup faces Shunsuke Mitsui in the Astana qualifying semi-final on hard. Shunsuke Mitsui holds the paper edge — ranked #652, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC

Sornlaksup P.28%

Mitsui S.72%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mitsui S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Surface form: Pawit Sornlaksup 5 of 10, Shunsuke Mitsui 8 of 10 on hard recently — Shunsuke Mitsui the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Head-to-head: Shunsuke Mitsui leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Luzhou 1 2025.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Sornlaksup P.

4.3

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Mitsui S.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

3.0Trails 0–1 on hard

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on hard

5.14 of last 8 on hard

Surface form

5.86 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season

Sornlaksup P.Mitsui S.

1st serve in·Even

59%

56%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

55%

78%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

46%

55%

Service points won·Clear edge

51%

68%

Return points won·Even

39%

35%

Break points saved·Clear edge

50%

63%

Aces / match·Dominant

1.3

4.8

Double faults / match·Clear edge

1.0

2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Sornlaksup P.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mitsui S.

Mitsui S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sornlaksup P.

Serve advantage — Mitsui S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather forecast

30°CClear

Wind 3 km/hHumidity 29%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-06-18	M25 Luzhou 1	R32	hard	Shunsuke Mitsui	7-6(6) 6-2

Pawit Sornlaksup vs Shunsuke Mitsui — Astana Qualifying Semi-final