Michele Mecarelli vs Eero VasaTodi Q32

Todi · CHALLENGER · Q32
#965ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND · 1st on
#468ATP
1364ELO
1345Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
Mecarelli M.
6-3 6-2
Vasa E.
Mecarelli M.
662
Vasa E.
320

Michele Mecarelli defeated Eero Vasa 6-3, 6-2 in the qualifying second round of the Todi clay court tournament. Mecarelli converted all four of his break points, while Vasa converted one of three. Mecarelli won 71% of his first serves, compared to 62% for Vasa.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
68%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
5.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Mecarelli M.41%
Vasa E.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vasa E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.13 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
98

Mecarelli M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Vasa E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw