Franco Ribero vs Mykyta Mashtakov — Todi Qualifying Semi-final

Todi · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
ARG
Franco Ribero
#733ATP
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLLLWW
—
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
UKR11
Mykyta Mashtakov
#654ATP
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWLWLL
Ribero F.
vs
Mashtakov M.

Franco Ribero faces Mykyta Mashtakov in the Todi qualifying semi-final on clay. Mykyta Mashtakov holds the paper edge — ranked #654. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Ribero F.38%
Mashtakov M.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mashtakov M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Franco Ribero carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Franco Ribero 5 of 10, Mykyta Mashtakov 6 of 10 on clay recently — Mykyta Mashtakov the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ribero F.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Mashtakov M.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.51 of last 9 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
Ribero F.Mashtakov M.
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
49%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ribero F.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Mashtakov M.

Mashtakov M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ribero F.

Serve advantage — Mashtakov M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Ribero F.Mashtakov M.
Freshness·
79
—

Ribero F.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw