Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Daniele Rapagnetta — Todi Qualifying Semi-final

Todi · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
ITA2
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
#405ATP
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLWLLW
—
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 6 · 4th on
ITA
Daniele Rapagnetta
#736ATP
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWLLWW
Cruz Martin Manzano J.
vs
Rapagnetta D.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano faces Daniele Rapagnetta in the Todi qualifying semi-final on clay. Juan Cruz Martin Manzano holds the paper edge — ranked #405. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Cruz Martin Manzano J.60%
Rapagnetta D.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cruz Martin Manzano J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cruz Martin Manzano J.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Rapagnetta D.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season
Cruz Martin Manzano J.Rapagnetta D.
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cruz Martin Manzano J.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Rapagnetta D.

Rapagnetta D.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cruz Martin Manzano J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Cruz Martin Manzano J.Rapagnetta D.
Freshness·
—
96

Rapagnetta D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
36°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 25%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw