W. Manning vs Donald YoungBrownsburg Qualifying Semi-final

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#1101ATP
21 yrs
Last 10
LLWLWWLLLW
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
hard
#552ATP
37 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLLWWW
Manning W.
vs
Young D.

W. Manning faces Donald Young in the Brownsburg qualifying semi-final on hard. Donald Young holds the paper edge — ranked #552, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Manning W.21%
Young D.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Young D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: Donald Young leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Dallas, Tx 2026.
  • Fatigue load: Donald Young carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 8 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.6Won 44% in Usa (32)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

9 vs 20 matches

Statistics

Recent form
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
51%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

Recent form
Manning W.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Young D.

Young D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Manning W.

Serve advantage — Manning W.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Young D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-09M25 Dallas, TxR16hardDonald Young3-6 5-7

Draw