David Poljak vs Oleksii KrutykhHamburg Qualifying Semi-final

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#1105ATP
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLLLL
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
clay
M5 · 3rd on
#522ATP
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWWLW
Poljak D.
vs
Krutykh O.

David Poljak faces Oleksii Krutykh in the Hamburg qualifying semi-final on clay. They have met 2 times, David Poljak leading 2–0, though this is their first meeting on clay. Oleksii Krutykh brings the better recent clay form (6 of 8).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Poljak D.19%
Krutykh O.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Krutykh O. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: David Poljak 2 of 8, Oleksii Krutykh 6 of 8 on clay recently — Oleksii Krutykh the sharper of late.
  • Head-to-head: David Poljak leads the head-to-head 2–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at M15 Sharm El Sheikh 10 2020.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
2.02 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

4 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
60%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Clear edge
32%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
44%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
2.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Poljak D.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Krutykh O.

Krutykh O.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Poljak D.

Serve advantage — Krutykh O.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
8
21
Break points saved·Dominant
38
65
Break points won·Slight edge
6
16
Deciding sets·Slight edge
48
40
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
1
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Krutykh O.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-10-31M15 Sharm El Sheikh 10SFhardDavid Poljak6-1 6-4
2020-02-28M15 Sharm El Sheikh 4QFhardDavid Poljak6-2 5-7 7-6(4)

Draw