Ryan Dickerson vs Aidan Mayo

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final

USA

Ryan Dickerson

#669ATP

1181ELO

1174Hard ELO

29 yrs

Last 10

LLLLWLWLLW

—

Sets

Sunday, 9 August 2026 · 11:30

hard

USA12

Aidan Mayo

#625ATP

1380ELO

1359Hard ELO

23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWLWWWLLW

Dickerson R.

Mayo A.

Ryan Dickerson faces Aidan Mayo in the Brownsburg qualifying semi-final on hard. Aidan Mayo holds the paper edge — ranked #625, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC

Dickerson R.27%

Mayo A.73%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mayo A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Fatigue load: Aidan Mayo carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Head-to-head: Aidan Mayo leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Cancun 3 2022.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Dickerson R.

4.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Mayo A.

6.9

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.7Hard Elo 1174

Surface ELO

7.3+185 Hard Elo edge

2.5Overall Elo 1181

ELO gap

7.5Overall Elo 1380

5.0First meeting on hard

H2H

5.0First meeting on hard

Surface form

6.06 of last 10 on hard

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

5.5Won 59% in Usa (150)

Country comfort

4.9Won 48% in Usa (54)

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 11 matches

Statistics

This season

Dickerson R.Mayo A.

1st serve in·Even

60%

57%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

66%

73%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

41%

52%

Service points won·Slight edge

56%

64%

Return points won·Even

40%

41%

Break points saved·Slight edge

51%

60%

Aces / match·Clear edge

2.4

4.2

Double faults / match·Dominant

5.7

4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Dickerson R.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Mayo A.

Mayo A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Dickerson R.

Serve advantage — Mayo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Dickerson R.Mayo A.

Freshness·

—

Mayo A.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

26°CMainly clear

Wind 13 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2022-01-31	M15 Cancun 3	Q32	hard	Aidan Mayo	6-4 1-6 10-2

Ryan Dickerson vs Aidan Mayo — Brownsburg Qualifying Semi-final