Matthew Dellavedova vs Yuki MochizukiM15 Tianjin Final

M15 Tianjin · ITF · Final
#307ATP
26 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
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2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
hard
#732ATP
28 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
Dellavedova M.
6-3 3-6 6-0
Mochizuki Y.
Dellavedova M.
6362
Mochizuki Y.
3601

Matthew Dellavedova won the M15 Tianjin final, defeating Yuki Mochizuki 6-3, 3-6, 6-0. Dellavedova hit one ace and one double fault, winning 78 percent of his first serves and converting 44 percent of his break points. He broke Mochizuki's serve four times, while Mochizuki converted one service break.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-11M25 Sapporo 2R16hardMatthew Dellavedova6-3 7-5
2023-04-11M25 Jakarta 1R32hardYuki Mochizuki6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
53%
56%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
43%
51%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Dellavedova M.69%
Mochizuki Y.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dellavedova M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.73 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Draw