S. D'Agostino vs Giorgio TabaccoTodi Qualifying Semi-final

Todi · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#846ATP
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWWWL
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
clay
#678ATP
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWLWW
D'Agostino S.
vs
Tabacco G.

S. D'Agostino faces Giorgio Tabacco in the Todi qualifying semi-final on clay. Giorgio Tabacco holds the paper edge — ranked #678, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
D'Agostino S.39%
Tabacco G.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tabacco G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: Giorgio Tabacco leads the head-to-head 3–0. Last met at M25 Porec 1 2022.
  • Fatigue load: Giorgio Tabacco carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
Surface form
6.37 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
71%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
D'Agostino S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Tabacco G.

Tabacco G.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs D'Agostino S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Tabacco G.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
34°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-07M25 Porec 1Q32clayGiorgio Tabacco7-5 6-4
2021-08-02M25 Bolzano 1Q32clayGiorgio Tabacco6-3 6-0
2021-05-24M15 Antalya 21Q32clayGiorgio Tabacco7-5 7-6(0)

Draw