Tristan Boyer vs Matthew ForbesBrownsburg Qualifying Semi-final

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#168ATP
1561ELO
1525Hard ELO
$105kYTD
$960kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLWLW
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
hard
#771ATP
20 yrs
Last 10
LLWWWWLWWL
Boyer T.
vs
Forbes M.

Tristan Boyer faces Matthew Forbes in the Brownsburg qualifying semi-final on hard. Tristan Boyer is the paper favourite — ranked #168 — but Matthew Forbes arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 8 on hard to Tristan Boyer's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Boyer T.69%
Forbes M.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Boyer T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.54 of last 9 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.6Won 61% in Usa (33)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

17 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
66%
52%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
29%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
83%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Boyer T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Forbes M.

Forbes M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Boyer T.

Serve advantage — Boyer T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
95

Boyer T.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Forbes M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw