Gabriele Crivellaro vs Federico ArnaboldiTodi Qualifying Semi-final

Todi · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#1359ATP
19 yrs
Last 10
LWWLWWLWLW
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#519ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLWLW
Crivellaro G.
vs
Arnaboldi F.

Gabriele Crivellaro faces Federico Arnaboldi in the Todi qualifying semi-final on clay. Federico Arnaboldi holds the paper edge — ranked #519. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Crivellaro G.24%
Arnaboldi F.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Arnaboldi F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.04 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

2 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
56%
69%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
38%
50%
Service points won·Clear edge
49%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
43%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Crivellaro G.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Arnaboldi F.

Arnaboldi F.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Crivellaro G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Arnaboldi F.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
34°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw