Boris Arias vs Ergi Kirkin — Hamburg Q32
Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Q32
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
clay
M5 · 2nd on
Arias B.2-6 2-6
Kirkin E.
Arias B.
220
Kirkin E.
662
Ergi Kirkin defeated Boris Arias 6-2, 6-2 in the qualifying round 3 of the Hamburg clay court tournament. The match was part of the Q32 round. Kirkin won the match in straight sets.
Key context
- Match story: Ergi Kirkin dropped just 4 games past Boris Arias.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCArias B.12%
Kirkin E.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Kirkin E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 42%