Daniil Ostapenkov vs Egor Agafonov — Astana Qualifying Semi-final
Astana · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
0 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 5 · 2nd on
Ostapenkov D.1-3
Agafonov E.
Ostapenkov D.
10
Agafonov E.
31
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
44%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
49%
70%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.8
5.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
5.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTCOstapenkov D.65%
Agafonov E.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Ostapenkov D. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form2.83 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streakFatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
66
—
Ostapenkov D.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 106 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 34%