Valerio Aboian vs Maximilian Homberg — Todi Q32
ARG4
Aboian V.
Maximilian Homberg defeated Valerio Aboian in the semifinals of the Todi tournament, winning 6-4, 6-4 on clay. Homberg hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 78% of his first serves and converting 40% of break points. He broke Aboian's serve twice, while Aboian had 3 aces, 1 double fault, 76% first-serve win percentage, and zero break points converted.
Key context
- Match story: Maximilian Homberg edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Aboian V. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadAboian V.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Homberg M.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About