Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova — Toronto Round of 32
UKR9
RUS24
Svitolina E.
Elina Svitolina faces Anastasia Potapova in the Toronto round of 32 on hard. Elina Svitolina holds the paper edge — ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Svitolina E. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Elina Svitolina comes in with 1 days of rest and 78 games in 14d, vs Anastasia Potapova's 1 and 51.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Elina Svitolina has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 91 vs 64).
- Last match: Elina Svitolina dropped the opening set before beating Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6–7 7–6 6–4.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSvitolina E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-28 | Monterrey | R32 | hard | Elina Svitolina | 6-2 6-1 |