Carl Emil Overbeck vs Marcello SerafiniM25 Fano Final

M25 Fano · ITF · Final
#323ATP
1293ELO
1257Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
clay
#1195ATP
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLL
Emil Overbeck C.
7-6 7-6
Serafini M.
Emil Overbeck C.
772
Serafini M.
660

Carl Emil Overbeck won the M25 Fano final, defeating Marcello Serafini 7-6, 7-6 on clay. Overbeck hit 10 aces to Serafini's 3 and did not commit a double fault, while Serafini converted 67 percent of his break points. Both players earned two service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
52%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
58%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Emil Overbeck C.64%
Serafini M.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Emil Overbeck C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw