Petr Nesterov vs Radu Mihai PapoePlovdiv 2 Semi-final

Plovdiv 2 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#301ATP
1456ELO
1410Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#300ATP
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Nesterov P.
7-5 6-3
Mihai Papoe R.
Nesterov P.
762
Mihai Papoe R.
530

Petr Nesterov defeated Radu Mihai Papoe in the semifinals of the Plovdiv 2 tournament, winning 7-5, 6-3 on clay. Nesterov hit 4 aces and 4 double faults, while Papoe had 1 ace and 0 double faults. Nesterov converted 60% of his break points and won 70% of his first-serve points, securing 6 service breaks to Papoe's 4.

Key context

  • Match story: Petr Nesterov closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-12M15 Curtea de Arges 1SFclayRadu Mihai Papoe6-4 6-2
2023-05-23M15 Bucharest 1R32clayPetr Nesterov6-1 3-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
40%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
0.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.1
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Nesterov P.45%
Mihai Papoe R.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.27 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
49

Nesterov P.: 12 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mihai Papoe R.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw