Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael JodarMontreal Round of 16

Montreal · ATP · Round of 16
#12ATP
1922ELO
1882Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWL
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
#15ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWW
Lehecka J.
vs
Jodar R.

Jiri Lehecka faces Rafael Jodar in the Montreal round of 16 on hard. Jiri Lehecka holds the paper edge — ranked #12.

Around the match

  • I think I did a great job in the return game. Generally, I played very solid, trying to attack when I could. Lorenzo is a top player, so I knew I had to play pressure moments well. So I am super happy with my performance today.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Lehecka J.55%
Jodar R.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
17 common opponents · Lehecka J. 17–6 · Jodar R. 14–8
Both lost · different surfaces (Hard × Clay)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+9 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1873
4.0Overall Elo 1922
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1999
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

31 vs 47 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
73%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.0
4.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Lehecka J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Jodar R.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Lehecka J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
80
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
91
Break points won·Clear edge
51
71
Deciding sets·Even
96
100
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
75
49

Lehecka J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Jodar R.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 125 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw