Viktorija Golubic vs Iga SwiatekToronto Round of 32

Toronto · WTA · Round of 32
#51WTA
1775ELO
1720Hard ELO
$652kYTD
$5.5MCAREER
33 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLWWWW
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
#8WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLLWWW
Golubic V.
vs
Swiatek I.

Viktorija Golubic faces Iga Swiatek in the Toronto round of 32 on hard. Iga Swiatek holds the paper edge — ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Golubic V.17%
Swiatek I.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Swiatek I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
10 common opponents · Golubic V. 4–8 · Swiatek I. 6–7
Both lost · same surface, 26 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.2Hard Elo 1720
Surface ELO
8.8+302 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 2064
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

41 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
61%
Return points won·Even
47%
49%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Golubic V.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Golubic V.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
25
94
Break points saved·Dominant
7
86
Break points won·Slight edge
90
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
39
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
19
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
90

Golubic V.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 84%

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-21MiamiR64hardIga Swiatek6-2 6-0
2022-02-21DohaR32hardIga Swiatek6-2 3-6 6-2
2019-07-01WimbledonR128grassViktorija Golubic6-2 7-6

Draw