Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler — Grodzisk Mazowiecki Semi-final

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
FRA
Mathys Erhard
#337ATP
1382ELO
1348Hard ELO
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
AUT3
Joel Schwaerzler
#150ATP
1577ELO
1519Hard ELO
$102kYTD
$301kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWLWL
Erhard M.
6-3 6-7 4-6
Schwaerzler J.
Erhard M.
6641
Schwaerzler J.
3762

Joel Schwaerzler defeated Mathys Erhard in the semifinals of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki tournament, winning 3-6, 7-6, 6-4. Both players recorded one service break and converted 17% and 33% of break points, respectively. Schwaerzler served nine aces to Erhard's eight.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Erhard M.Schwaerzler J.
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
65%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Erhard M.Schwaerzler J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
23
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
89
Break points won·Clear edge
19
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Erhard M.49%
Schwaerzler J.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Erhard M.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Schwaerzler J.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1348
Surface ELO
7.1+171 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1382
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1577
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Erhard M.Schwaerzler J.
Freshness·Dominant
100
75

Erhard M.: 17 days rest · Schwaerzler J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw