Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno BorgesMontreal Round of 32

Montreal · ATP · Round of 32
#57ATP
1781ELO
1721Hard ELO
$608kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLWWL
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
#55ATP
1769ELO
1714Hard ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWWLWL
Hanfmann Y.
vs
Borges N.

Yannick Hanfmann faces Nuno Borges in the Montreal round of 32 on hard. Nuno Borges holds the paper edge — ranked #55.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Hanfmann Y.46%
Borges N.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
10 common opponents · Hanfmann Y. 4–10 · Borges N. 5–7
Both lost · same surface, 0 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+7 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1714
5.2Overall Elo 1781
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1769
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.94 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

34 vs 41 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.7
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hanfmann Y.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Borges N.

Borges N.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Hanfmann Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
51
53
Break points saved·Even
90
94
Break points won·Clear edge
4
20
Deciding sets·Even
96
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
50
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
63
78

Hanfmann Y.: played today · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Borges N.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw