Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda AnisimovaToronto Round of 32

Toronto · WTA · Round of 32
#41WTA
1788ELO
1719Hard ELO
$767kYTD
$973kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWWLW
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
#9WTA
1914ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWLWWL
Bartunkova N.
vs
Anisimova A.

Nikola Bartunkova faces Amanda Anisimova in the Toronto round of 32 on hard. Amanda Anisimova holds the paper edge — ranked #9, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Bartunkova N.26%
Anisimova A.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Anisimova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
10 common opponents · Bartunkova N. 5–5 · Anisimova A. 7–8
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1719
Surface ELO
7.0+160 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1788
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1914
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

45 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bartunkova N.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Anisimova A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bartunkova N.

Serve advantage — Anisimova A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
84
Break points won·Slight edge
90
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
95
Tiebreaks·
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

Bartunkova N.: played today · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 84%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw