Chenting Zhu vs Jiayi Wang — W15 Tianjin Quarter-final

W15 Tianjin · ITF · Quarter-final

CHN

Chenting Zhu

#684WTA

1082ELO

1064Hard ELO

18 yrs

Last 10

WWLWWLWWLL

—

Sets

Friday, 7 August 2026 · 11:30

hard

CHN2

Jiayi Wang

#518WTA

18 yrs

Last 10

WWLWWWWLWL

Zhu C.

Wang J.

Chenting Zhu faces Jiayi Wang in the W15 Tianjin quarter-final on hard. Jiayi Wang holds the paper edge — ranked #518, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC

Zhu C.31%

Wang J.69%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Wang J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Jiayi Wang advanced when Xi Luo retired.
Last match: Chenting Zhu handed J. Dong a second-set bagel in a 6–3 6–0 win.
Head-to-head: Jiayi Wang leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W15 Maanshan 3 2026.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Zhu C.

4.2

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Wang J.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

3.0Trails 0–1 on hard

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on hard

4.04 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

6.87 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

Country comfort

6.2Won 69% in China (26)

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season

Zhu C.Wang J.

1st serve in·Even

59%

61%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

60%

65%

2nd serve points won·Even

47%

Service points won·Even

55%

58%

Return points won·Even

47%

Break points saved·Even

54%

56%

Aces / match·Even

2.1

2.2

Double faults / match·Dominant

3.9

2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Zhu C.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Wang J.

Wang J.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Zhu C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

34°CClear

Wind 15 km/hHumidity 68%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-06-26	W15 Maanshan 3	QF	hard	Jiayi Wang	7-6 6-4