Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Montreal Round of 32
Popyrin A.
Alexei Popyrin faces Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Montreal round of 32 on hard. Thiago Agustin Tirante holds the paper edge — ranked #65.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Alexei Popyrin 74 games in 14 days, Thiago Agustin Tirante 29.
- Serve & return: Alexei Popyrin brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 39), Thiago Agustin Tirante the stronger return game (Return Rating 41).
- Win streak: Both arrive in form — Alexei Popyrin on a 3-match run, Thiago Agustin Tirante on 4.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPopyrin A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d) · Tirante T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.